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Consensus Points to Higher Gold
September 22, 2009

I do not yet know how our weekly poll question results about whether gold has peaked out at $1,000. However, those individuals who took the time to send me e-mails with their views are almost unanimous that gold has further to go on the upside.

That is perhaps not surprising given the fact that it has been ascending since 2001 from the middle $250s an ounce. Those who bought then have made a lot of money in eight years.

Had we had the technology to conduct a similar poll in the weeks immediately before the high in 1980, the results would probably have been the same.

Similarity to 1980 does not mean that the present views are in error, but it is sure important to note the fact that nearly everyone who responded at some length holds the same view.

Even this week's issue of Barron's, which usually covers Wall Street, was bullish on gold.

Someone who didn't share the consensus view forecast a gold decline later this year rooted in another dip lower for the economy generally.

Will this overwhelmingly positive majority prove to be right?

There are many people who seem to be both financially and emotionally invested in the answer to that question.

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About the Author
David C. Harper has been a coin collector since 1963. He joined the Krause Publications editorial staff in 1978 and is currently editor of Numismatic News and World Coin News. He also edits two books annually, North American Coins & Prices and Coin Digest. He is the author of the Class of '63 column that runs each week in Numismatic News. His first bylined numismatic article appeared in the June 1971 issue of Coins Magazine and his various Krause Publications assignments included a stint as editor of the magazine 1980-1983. Harper received a bachelor of science degree from the University of Wisconsin-Oshkosh in 1977. He had a double major of journalism and economics.

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