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Too Busy Watching for $50
April 25, 2011



Will silver hit $50 this week and exceed the 1980 high? That question has to be in the minds of just about everybody who knows what the metal is.

It opened the week up strongly this morning.

Strong, though, is not a word that I would use to describe the response to this week’s poll question about silver, which went out in the Friday e-newsletter.

The question asked whether the old silver to gold ratio of 16 to 1 would be reached once again from the 33 to 1 that prevailed when the question was first posted on Thursday.

That would mean that silver would have to double while gold stayed the same price, or silver would have to rise more rapidly than gold and achieve the relative doubling over time.

When I opened my e-mail this morning, I had hardly gotten 16 responses. Actually, the count was 17.

While a lot of individuals seem to have strong opinions about where silver will be going – straight up – this historical reference to the old ratio official established in 1792 didn’t seem to stir the blood at all despite the blogs I have been seeing about it. I couldn’t help myself, either, as I wrote a blog about the ratio last week myself.

Perhaps it was the fact that the question was posed at Easter. Respondents had more to do than take an online poll or send me an e-mail.

Then again, thinking about the ratio is a bit counterintuitive. The ratio falls when silver rises faster than gold. That relationship is perhaps more than most wanted to think about in the past few days, or perhaps they are scrambling so much to keep their investments in order that they don’t have time to respond to a poll question.

I should have simply asked whether silver would hit $100.



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About the Author
David C. Harper has been a coin collector since 1963. He joined the Krause Publications editorial staff in 1978 and is currently editor of Numismatic News, Bank Note Reporter and World Coin News. He also edits two books annually, North American Coins & Prices and Coin Digest. He is the author of the Class of '63 column that runs each week in Numismatic News. His first bylined numismatic article appeared in the June 1971 issue of Coins Magazine and his various Krause Publications assignments included a stint as editor of the magazine 1980-1983. Harper received a bachelor of science degree from the University of Wisconsin-Oshkosh in 1977. He had a double major of journalism and economics.

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